Crawley Town vs Chesterfield prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Chesterfield or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield preview and prediction
The match
Crawley Town host Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Chesterfield sit 10th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Crawley Town's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Bromley 4–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Chesterfield's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Tranmere 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Chesterfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Crawley Town 1–1 Chesterfield.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Crawley Town and 2.0 for Chesterfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 17%, draw 19%, Chesterfield 64%.
Safer route: Chesterfield or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Chesterfield to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chesterfield or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Crawley Town 0–2 Chesterfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town17%fair 6.00 · @4.40
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.90
Chesterfield64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
2.88Expected goals
0.88Crawley Town xG
2.00Chesterfield xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 0.9 – 2.0 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Chesterfield or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chesterfield 64%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 0–2 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
