Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOldham to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceOldham or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Oldham vs Accrington ST preview and prediction
The match
Oldham host Accrington ST in the League Two on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Boundary Park. Oldham are 18th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Accrington ST sit 9th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Oldham's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Salford City 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Accrington ST's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Salford City 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Accrington ST arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Oldham and 0.9 for Accrington ST. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oldham 60%, draw 23%, Accrington ST 17%.
Safer route: Oldham or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oldham or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Oldham 1–0 Accrington ST. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.60
Accrington ST17%fair 5.90 · @4.20
2.88Expected goals
1.94Oldham xG
0.94Accrington ST xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.9 – 0.9 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Oldham ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Oldham – last 6
LWLLLD
26 Sep
vs Salford City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chesterfield
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
DWDDDL
6 Oct
vs Salford City
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Cheltenham
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Newport County
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Barnet
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Oldham or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oldham vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Oldham have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Accrington ST 17%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Accrington ST?
Oldham vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.