Port Vale host Grimsby in the League Two on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Vale Park. Port Vale are 19th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Port Vale's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Mansfield Town 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Grimsby's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Burton Albion 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Port Vale and 1.1 for Grimsby. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Port Vale 36%, draw 24%, Grimsby 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Port Vale 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Port Vale36%fair 2.80 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Grimsby40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
2.19Expected goals
1.05Port Vale xG
1.14Grimsby xG
57%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.1 – 1.1 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
40%
2.49
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Port Vale – last 6
WDLWLL
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DLLLWW
6 Oct
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Crawley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Grimsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Port Vale vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grimsby 40%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Grimsby?
Port Vale vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
