League Two · England · New York StadiumRotherham vs Gillingham prediction & analysis
Rotherham or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.7 – 0.7 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rotherham hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Gillingham.
Rotherham have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Gillingham have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Gillingham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Rotherham, 0.7 for Gillingham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Rotherham or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Rotherham to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rotherham to win ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Rotherham or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham ✗ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.60 | – |
Form
Rotherham – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Bradford | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Exeter City | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Northampton | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Salford City | 3–3 | D |
Gillingham – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Newport County | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ York | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Tranmere | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Rochdale | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Gillingham.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Rotherham or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rotherham vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gillingham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Rotherham vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.