Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceYork or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.65
York vs Gillingham preview and prediction
The match
Gillingham travel to York`s LNER Community Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT) to face York. York are 7th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
York's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Rotherham 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gillingham's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Cambridge United 1–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Gillingham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for York and 0.8 for Gillingham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: York 65%, draw 23%, Gillingham 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was York to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: York 2–0 Gillingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.20
Gillingham12%fair 8.32 · @5.50
2.98Expected goals
2.13York xG
0.85Gillingham xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: York 2.1 – 0.8 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Double chance
York or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
York – last 6
DLLWDL
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Swindon Town
4–0
W
5 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
LWWWDD
22 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tranmere
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Rochdale
4–1
W
1 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Northampton
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Gillingham.
Our pick is York to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win York vs Gillingham?
On our numbers York have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gillingham 12%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Gillingham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is York 2–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is York vs Gillingham?
York vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
