Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Bristol Rovers to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.74
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City preview and prediction
The match
Exeter City travel to Memorial Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT) to face Bristol Rovers. Bristol Rovers are 17th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Exeter City sit 12th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol Rovers's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Gillingham 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Exeter City's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Cheltenham 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bristol Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Bristol Rovers and 0.7 for Exeter City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol Rovers 67%, draw 20%, Exeter City 13%.
Safer route: Bristol Rovers or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bristol Rovers to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1–0 Exeter City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol Rovers67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.75
Exeter City13%fair 7.68 · @4.75
2.54Expected goals
1.88Bristol Rovers xG
0.66Exeter City xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.9 – 0.7 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Bristol Rovers or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.74
–
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 6
LLWWWD
19 Sep
@ Gillingham
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Grimsby
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Colchester
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Crawley Town
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
DDLWDD
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Barnet
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Bristol Rovers to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Exeter City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–0 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
