League Two · England · New MeadowShrewsbury vs Colchester prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.3 – 1.2 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Shrewsbury and Colchester on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Shrewsbury have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Colchester have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Shrewsbury, 1.2 for Colchester). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shrewsbury to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shrewsbury / FT Shrewsbury ✗ | 23% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.35 | – |
Form
Shrewsbury – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Northampton | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Rochdale | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Salford City | 1–0 | W |
Colchester – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Peterborough | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Cheltenham | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Rochdale | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Colchester.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Colchester 36%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Shrewsbury vs Colchester?
Shrewsbury vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.