League Two · England · Highbury StadiumFleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction & analysis
Fleetwood Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.7 – 0.8 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fleetwood Town are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Rochdale.
Fleetwood Town have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Rochdale have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Fleetwood Town, 0.8 for Rochdale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Fleetwood Town to win at 1.85 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fleetwood Town to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Fleetwood Town or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town ✗ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.01 | – |
Form
Fleetwood Town – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Oldham | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Barnet | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Sheffield Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Newport County | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Oldham | 1–1 | D |
Rochdale – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Liverpool U21 | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Oldham | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Walsall | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Gillingham | 1–4 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Colchester | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleetwood Town and Rochdale.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rochdale 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.