Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWalsall to win ✓47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Walsall vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
Walsall host Port Vale in the League Two on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Bescot Stadium. Walsall are 3rd with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Port Vale sit 19th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Walsall's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Rochdale 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Exeter City 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for Walsall and 0.8 for Port Vale. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Walsall 47%, draw 22%, Port Vale 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Walsall to win at 2.40 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Walsall 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Walsall47%fair 2.14 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Port Vale31%fair 3.23 · @2.80
1.83Expected goals
1.06Walsall xG
0.77Port Vale xG
51%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Walsall 1.1 – 0.8 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Walsall to win✓
47%
2.14
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Walsall – last 6
DDDWDD
12 Sep
vs Rochdale
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Crewe
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Accrington ST
3–2
W
25 Aug
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
WLLDDL
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Tranmere
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Walsall and Port Vale.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Walsall vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Walsall have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Port Vale 31%.
How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Port Vale?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walsall vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Walsall 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Walsall vs Port Vale?
Walsall vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
