League Two · England · The Crown GroundAccrington ST vs Newport County prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Accrington ST 2.1 – 1.6 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Accrington ST hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 31% for Newport County.
Accrington ST have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Newport County have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.1 for Accrington ST, 1.6 for Newport County). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Accrington ST to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Accrington ST ahead at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST ✗ | 30% | 3.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.50 | – |
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Barnet | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Crawley Town | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Walsall | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Exeter City | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
Newport County – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Northampton | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Salford City | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Tranmere | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Bristol Rovers | 3–5 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Rochdale | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Newport County.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Newport County?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport County 31%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Accrington ST vs Newport County?
Accrington ST vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.