Rochdale vs Oldham prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Oldham to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rochdale 0.9 – 1.6 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oldham shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 23% for Rochdale.
Rochdale have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Oldham have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.9 for Rochdale, 1.6 for Oldham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.69. For a bigger price, Oldham to win at 1.91 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oldham to win ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oldham / FT Oldham ✗ | 33% | 3.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.61 | – |
Form
Rochdale – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Walsall | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Gillingham | 1–4 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Shrewsbury | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Colchester | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Crawley Town | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Newport County | 0–3 | L |
Oldham – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Chesterfield | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Tranmere | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Swindon Town | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Colchester | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Port Vale | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Oldham.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Oldham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rochdale vs Oldham?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oldham 56%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Rochdale vs Oldham?
Rochdale vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.























