Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Crewe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrewe to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceCrewe or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.98
Crewe vs Shrewsbury preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Crewe take on Shrewsbury on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Alexandra Stadium. Crewe are 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Shrewsbury sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Crewe's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Colchester 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shrewsbury's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Northampton 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Crewe and 0.5 for Shrewsbury. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crewe 63%, draw 23%, Shrewsbury 14%.
Safer route: Crewe or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Crewe to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Crewe or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Crewe 1–0 Shrewsbury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crewe63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Shrewsbury14%fair 7.01 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.49Crewe xG
0.51Shrewsbury xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.5 – 0.5 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Crewe or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.98
–
Form
Crewe – last 6
DDDDLW
12 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs York
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Sep
vs Northampton
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Barnet
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Shrewsbury.
Our pick is Crewe or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Crewe have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shrewsbury 14%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
Crewe vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
