Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Colchester to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColchester to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Colchester vs Cheltenham preview and prediction
The match
Colchester host Cheltenham in the League Two on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Colchester Community Stadium. Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Crewe 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cheltenham's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Crawley Town 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cheltenham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Colchester and 1.2 for Cheltenham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Colchester to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Colchester 2–1 Cheltenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.40
Cheltenham22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
3.25Expected goals
2.07Colchester xG
1.18Cheltenham xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Colchester 2.1 – 1.2 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Colchester ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
DLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Rochdale
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Oldham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
WDWDLW
12 Sep
@ Crawley Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Barnet
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Colchester vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Colchester have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cheltenham 22%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Colchester 2–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Colchester vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
