League Two · England · York Community StadiumYork vs Swindon Town prediction & analysis
York to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: York 2.1 – 1.0 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
York are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Swindon Town.
York have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Swindon Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for York, 1.0 for Swindon Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is York to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | York to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | York or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Half-time result | York ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT York / FT York ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.63 | – |
Form
York – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Exeter City | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Rotherham | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Aug | vs Crawley Town | 0–2 | L |
Swindon Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Colchester | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Port Vale | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Oldham | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cheltenham | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Northampton | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Cardiff | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Swindon Town.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for York vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is York to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win York vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers York have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Swindon Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is York vs Swindon Town?
York vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.