York travel to Alexandra Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT) to face Crewe. Crewe are 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while York sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Crewe's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Walsall 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
York's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Cheltenham 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Crewe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Crewe and 1.3 for York. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crewe 38%, draw 24%, York 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 York. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crewe38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
York38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
2.63Expected goals
1.32Crewe xG
1.31York xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✗
38%
2.61
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Crewe – last 6
DDLWWW
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Crawley Town
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
York – last 6
LWDWLL
1 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Exeter City
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Rotherham
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bristol Rovers
3–2
W
3 Aug
vs Crawley Town
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Peterborough
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and York.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Crewe vs York?
On our numbers Crewe have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and York 38%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs York?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs York?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs York?
Crewe vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
