League Two · England · Peninsula StadiumSalford City vs Port Vale prediction & analysis
Salford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Salford City to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Salford City 1.6 – 0.6 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Salford City are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 14% for Port Vale.
Salford City have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Port Vale have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Salford City, 0.6 for Port Vale). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Salford City or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Salford City to win at 1.80 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Salford City to win ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Salford City or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 19% | 5.36 | – |
Form
Salford City – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Newport County | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Shrewsbury | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Chesterfield | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Barnet | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Shrewsbury | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Bradford | 2–2 | D |
Port Vale – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Crewe | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Oldham | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Wolves | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Blackpool | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Port Vale.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Salford City or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Salford City vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Salford City have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 14%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Salford City vs Port Vale?
Salford City vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.