League Two · England · The Wham StadiumAccrington ST vs Crawley Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Value bet: Crawley Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.5 – 1.4 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Accrington ST and Crawley Town on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Accrington ST have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Crawley Town have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Crawley Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Accrington ST, 1.4 for Crawley Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.65. For a bigger price, Crawley Town to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Accrington ST to win ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST ✗ | 24% | 4.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.41 | – |
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Walsall | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Exeter City | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Crewe | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
Crawley Town – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Northampton | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Rochdale | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Crewe | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Watford | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | @ York | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Crawley Town.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crawley Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?
Accrington ST vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.