League Two · England · SMH Group StadiumChesterfield vs Barnet prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Barnet to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.4 – 1.3 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Chesterfield and Barnet on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Chesterfield have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Barnet have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Barnet come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Chesterfield, 1.3 for Barnet). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.69. For a bigger price, Barnet to win at 3.10 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesterfield to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗ | 23% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.23 | – |
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Gillingham | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Rotherham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Salford City | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Fleetwood Town | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Fleetwood Town | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Scunthorpe | 1–1 | D |
Barnet – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Exeter City | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Cheltenham | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Shrewsbury | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Arsenal U21 | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Salford City | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Cambridge United | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Barnet.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Barnet?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Barnet?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barnet 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Chesterfield vs Barnet?
Chesterfield vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.