Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheffield Utd to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceSheffield Utd or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Sheffield Utd vs Derby preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Sheffield Utd take on Derby on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Bramall Lane. Sheffield Utd are 10th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Derby sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sheffield Utd's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Bristol City 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Derby's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Stoke City 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sheffield Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Sheffield Utd and 0.9 for Derby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Sheffield Utd or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheffield Utd58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
Derby20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.75Sheffield Utd xG
0.89Derby xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.7 – 0.9 Derby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Our pick is Sheffield Utd or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derby 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Sheffield Utd vs Derby (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
