Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Cardiff vs Birmingham preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham travel to Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT) to face Cardiff. Cardiff are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Birmingham sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Cardiff's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Birmingham's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat QPR 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Cardiff and 1.5 for Birmingham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff39%fair 2.56 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Birmingham38%fair 2.60 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.51Cardiff xG
1.49Birmingham xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.5 – 1.5 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
39%
2.56
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Cardiff – last 6
DWLWLD
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
WWWDWL
17 Oct
vs QPR
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Preston
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ West Brom
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Derby
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Norwich
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Birmingham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Birmingham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Birmingham?
Cardiff vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
