Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlackburn to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Blackburn vs Wrexham preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Blackburn take on Wrexham on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ewood Park. Blackburn are 13th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Wrexham sit 15th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Blackburn's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to West Brom 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Wrexham's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Preston 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Blackburn and 1.4 for Wrexham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Blackburn to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackburn40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Wrexham36%fair 2.82 · @2.60
2.91Expected goals
1.51Blackburn xG
1.40Wrexham xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.4 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackburn to win✓
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Blackburn – last 6
LWWDWL
17 Oct
@ West Brom
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Millwall
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Wrexham – last 6
WLDWLD
17 Oct
vs Preston
4–1
W
13 Oct
vs West Brom
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Derby
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Southampton
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ West Ham
0–6
L
8 Sep
vs Burnley
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Wrexham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wrexham 36%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Blackburn vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
