Value bet: Swansea to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwansea to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.39
QPR vs Swansea preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees QPR take on Swansea on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Loftus Road. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Swansea sit 6th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
QPR's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Birmingham 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Swansea's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to West Ham 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Swansea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished QPR 1–2 Swansea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for QPR and 1.2 for Swansea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: QPR 35%, draw 24%, Swansea 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Swansea to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: QPR 1–1 Swansea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Swansea41%fair 2.47 · @2.70
2.32Expected goals
1.11QPR xG
1.21Swansea xG
58%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: QPR 1.1 – 1.2 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
On our numbers QPR have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swansea 41%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Swansea?
QPR vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
