Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Burnley to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Lincoln vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Lincoln take on Burnley on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at LNER stadium. Lincoln are 21st with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Burnley sit 22nd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lincoln's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Millwall 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Burnley's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Wolves 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Lincoln and 1.6 for Burnley. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln 33%, draw 21%, Burnley 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Burnley to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Lincoln 1–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln33%fair 3.03 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Burnley46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
2.95Expected goals
1.33Lincoln xG
1.62Burnley xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.3 – 1.6 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
46%
2.17
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Form
Lincoln – last 6
DLLLWW
17 Oct
@ Millwall
2–2
D
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDWDLD
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Wrexham
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Burnley.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burnley 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Burnley?
Lincoln vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
