Value bet: HJK Helsinki to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓64% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Coleraine FC take on HJK Helsinki on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Inver Park.
Form guide
Coleraine FC's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 0–5 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
HJK Helsinki's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Turku PS 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished HJK Helsinki 5–0 Coleraine FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.4 for Coleraine FC and 2.7 for HJK Helsinki. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coleraine FC 20%, draw 16%, HJK Helsinki 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Value angle: HJK Helsinki to win at 1.82 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coleraine FC 1–2 HJK Helsinki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coleraine FC20%fair 5.11 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @4.10
HJK Helsinki64%fair 1.55 · @1.82
4.08Expected goals
1.42Coleraine FC xG
2.65HJK Helsinki xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Coleraine FC 1.4 – 2.7 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers Coleraine FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 16% and HJK Helsinki 64%.
How many goals will there be in Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is Coleraine FC 1–2 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki?
Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Inver Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.