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UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stadionul Ilie Oană

Beitar Jerusalem

WDDDD
2–3
FTPens 4–3

AEK Larnaca

LDLLW

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca prediction & analysis

83%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Beitar Jerusalem to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.05

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca preview and prediction

The match

Beitar Jerusalem host AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 30 July, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Form guide

Beitar Jerusalem's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat AEK Larnaca 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

AEK Larnaca's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Beitar Jerusalem 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished AEK Larnaca 0–1 Beitar Jerusalem.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.1 for Beitar Jerusalem and 0.6 for AEK Larnaca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Beitar Jerusalem 1–0 AEK Larnaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Beitar Jerusalem53%fair 1.87 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
AEK Larnaca26%fair 3.89 · @3.05
1.73Expected goals
1.12Beitar Jerusalem xG
0.61AEK Larnaca xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–020%
0–018%
1–112%
2–011%
0–111%
2–17%

From our goals model: Beitar Jerusalem 1.1 – 0.6 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗53%1.872.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.661.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.211.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beitar Jerusalem / FT Beitar Jerusalem ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.05–

Form

Beitar Jerusalem – last 6

WDDDDD
23 Jul@ AEK Larnaca1–0W
18 Julvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–2D
7 Jul@ Arda Kardzhali0–0D
3 Jul@ Botev Vratsa2–2D
19 May@ Hapoel Petah Tikva0–0D
12 Mayvs Hapoel Beer Sheva1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AEK Larnaca – last 6

LDLLWW
23 Julvs Beitar Jerusalem0–1L
16 Jul@ Apollon Limassol0–0D
10 Jul@ Ajax0–1L
7 Jul@ PAOK2–3L
4 Jul@ Helmond Sport2–1W
22 May@ Aris4–3W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026AEK Larnaca v Beitar Jerusalem0–1
Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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FT Auda4 FCSB1 116%4.55X20%3.85265%1.64 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 NK Varazdin0 160%1.64X24%3.85216%4.55 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 85%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Noah2 Zimbru1 174%1.29X19%4.9028%9.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Ilves1 Stjarnan0 Pens 5–4 160%1.69X20%3.85220%4.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗
FT Inter Turku2 Başakşehir0 111%4.45X25%3.70264%1.68 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme2 Shelbourne1 133%2.88X19%3.70247%2.12 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.25 ✓
FT Pyunik Yerevan0 Debreceni VSC0 152%2.10X22%3.25226%3.30 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

On our numbers Beitar Jerusalem have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AEK Larnaca 26%.

How many goals will there be in Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Our predicted score is Beitar Jerusalem 1–0 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca?

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.