Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Tokyo Verdy take on Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Gainare Tottori 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Iwaki 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.8 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 16%, draw 21%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy16%fair 6.38 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
2.63Expected goals
0.78Tokyo Verdy xG
1.85Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.8 – 1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
DDLDWD
7 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
0–0
D
29 Sep
@ Sagan Tosu
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Urawa
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Biwako Shiga
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WWWWLW
7 Oct
vs Iwaki
4–0
W
29 Sep
@ Tochigi City
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–3
L
2 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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