Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Kawasaki Frontale or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kawasaki Frontale to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKawasaki Frontale to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceKawasaki Frontale or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kawasaki Frontale take on Nagoya Grampus on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu. Kawasaki Frontale are 4th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kawasaki Frontale's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Kitakyushu 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kawasaki Frontale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.0 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kawasaki Frontale 62%, draw 19%, Nagoya Grampus 19%.
Safer route: Kawasaki Frontale or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Kawasaki Frontale to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kawasaki Frontale or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kawasaki Frontale62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.60
Nagoya Grampus19%fair 5.34 · @3.90
3.06Expected goals
2.04Kawasaki Frontale xG
1.02Nagoya Grampus xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kawasaki Frontale 2.0 – 1.0 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kawasaki Frontale to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Kawasaki Frontale or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Kawasaki Frontale ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kawasaki Frontale / FT Kawasaki Frontale✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Kawasaki Frontale – last 6
WWDWWL
7 Oct
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–0
W
29 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Kashima
3–3
D
12 Sep
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Shimizu S-pulse
3–1
W
2 Sep
@ Machida Zelvia
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
WLLLLW
29 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ FC Tokyo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Machida Zelvia
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Kawasaki Frontale or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kawasaki Frontale have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nagoya Grampus 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
V-varen Nagasaki1
Shimizu S-pulse2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2