Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse preview and prediction
The match
Shimizu S-pulse travel to K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Sunday 11 October (07:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Shimizu S-pulse sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Fukushima United 7–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.1 for Shimizu S-pulse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Shimizu S-pulse38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.11Mito Hollyhock xG
1.14Shimizu S-pulse xG
57%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.1 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✓
38%
2.62
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.30
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
WLLDDW
29 Sep
@ Fukushima United
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Kashima
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
DWWWLD
7 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shimizu S-pulse 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
V-varen Nagasaki1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Nagoya Grampus2