JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultV-varen Nagasaki to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
V-varen Nagasaki travel to Fukuda Denshi Arena in the J1 League on Sunday 11 October (06:00 WAT) to face JEF United Chiba. JEF United Chiba are 10th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
JEF United Chiba's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for JEF United Chiba and 1.6 for V-varen Nagasaki. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JEF United Chiba35%fair 2.88 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
V-varen Nagasaki41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
3.13Expected goals
1.49JEF United Chiba xG
1.64V-varen Nagasaki xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 1.5 – 1.6 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
V-varen Nagasaki to win✗
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
JEF United Chiba – last 6
LLLDWW
7 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Jubilo Iwata
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
DLDWWL
7 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Kochi United
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and V-varen Nagasaki 41%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki?
JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Nagoya Grampus2