Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Shimizu S-pulse or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceShimizu S-pulse or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba travel to IAI Stadium Nihondaira in the J1 League on Saturday 19 September (10:30 WAT) to face Shimizu S-pulse. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while JEF United Chiba sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
JEF United Chiba's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Tokyo Verdy 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Shimizu S-pulse and 0.8 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Shimizu S-pulse or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shimizu S-pulse or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
JEF United Chiba21%fair 4.67 · @3.80
2.36Expected goals
1.55Shimizu S-pulse xG
0.81JEF United Chiba xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.5 – 0.8 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Shimizu S-pulse or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
WLDLDL
12 Sep
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba – last 6
DWWLLD
13 Sep
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs Azul Claro Numazu
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Shimizu S-pulse or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and JEF United Chiba 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
V-varen Nagasaki1
Cerezo Osaka1
Nagoya Grampus0
Fagiano Okayama1
Kyoto Sanga2