V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: V-varen Nagasaki to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees V-varen Nagasaki take on Cerezo Osaka on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Nagoya Grampus 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–6 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Cerezo Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki. Across their last 2 meetings V-varen Nagasaki have won 1, Cerezo Osaka 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.6 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: V-varen Nagasaki to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
V-varen Nagasaki32%fair 3.13 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Cerezo Osaka47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
2.86Expected goals
1.26V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.60Cerezo Osaka xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 – 1.6 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerezo Osaka 47%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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