Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees FC Tokyo take on Nagoya Grampus on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Japan National Stadium. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Gamba Osaka 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished FC Tokyo 2–1 Nagoya Grampus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for FC Tokyo and 0.9 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 61%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 14%.
Safer route: FC Tokyo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tokyo or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.90
Nagoya Grampus14%fair 6.97 · @4.00
2.93Expected goals
2.02FC Tokyo xG
0.91Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.0 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Japan National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Shimizu S-pulse2
V-varen Nagasaki1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama1
Kyoto Sanga2