Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Fagiano Okayama or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction
The match
Kyoto Sanga travel to JFE Harenokuni Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 19 September (11:00 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Urawa 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kyoto Sanga's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Daejeon Citizen 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Kyoto Sanga 5–1 Fagiano Okayama. Across their last 2 meetings Fagiano Okayama have won 1, Kyoto Sanga 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.0 for Kyoto Sanga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Fagiano Okayama or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Fagiano Okayama to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fagiano Okayama or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.40
Kyoto Sanga18%fair 5.68 · @3.90
2.93Expected goals
1.95Fagiano Okayama xG
0.98Kyoto Sanga xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.9 – 1.0 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kyoto Sanga 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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