Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are 3rd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Machida Zelvia 0–0 Nagoya Grampus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.9 for Machida Zelvia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 27%, draw 22%, Machida Zelvia 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Machida Zelvia to win at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Machida Zelvia51%fair 1.97 · @2.15
3.30Expected goals
1.37Nagoya Grampus xG
1.93Machida Zelvia xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.4 – 1.9 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Machida Zelvia 51%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Fagiano Okayama3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Cerezo Osaka0
Vissel Kobe3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Shimizu S-pulse1
Kyoto Sanga0