Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Fagiano Okayama host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Nagoya Grampus 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Across their last 2 meetings Fagiano Okayama have won 1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.6 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.30Expected goals
0.73Fagiano Okayama xG
1.57Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 0.7 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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