Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.92
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Vissel Kobe 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.5 for Tokyo Verdy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerezo Osaka 65%, draw 20%, Tokyo Verdy 15%.
Safer route: Cerezo Osaka or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Tokyo Verdy15%fair 6.64 · @4.20
2.00Expected goals
1.50Cerezo Osaka xG
0.50Tokyo Verdy xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.5 – 0.5 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cerezo Osaka or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.92
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WLWWLW
2 Sep
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs FC Gifu
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LLWDLD
2 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Kashima
0–2
L
26 Aug
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tokyo Verdy 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy?
Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Nagoya Grampus1
Fagiano Okayama3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Vissel Kobe3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Shimizu S-pulse1
Kyoto Sanga0