Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.70
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.70
Kashima vs Urawa preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kashima take on Urawa on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Mercari Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Urawa sit 6th on 25 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 2–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Urawa's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Kashima 1–0 Urawa. Across their last 2 meetings Kashima have won 2, Urawa 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.9 goals: 3.2 for Kashima and 1.7 for Urawa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashima 63%, draw 21%, Urawa 16%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashima 3–1 Urawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Urawa16%fair 6.25 · @3.80
4.90Expected goals
3.16Kashima xG
1.74Urawa xG
68%Both score
87%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–16%
3–26%
2–26%
4–15%
4–25%
From our goals model: Kashima 3.2 – 1.7 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs Urawa?
On our numbers Kashima have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Urawa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Urawa?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Urawa?
Our predicted score is Kashima 3–1 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Urawa?
Kashima vs Urawa (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Nagoya Grampus1
Fagiano Okayama3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Cerezo Osaka0
Vissel Kobe3
V-varen Nagasaki1
Shimizu S-pulse1
Kyoto Sanga0