Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓90% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Kashima travel to Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 29 August (11:00 WAT) to face Tokyo Verdy. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Thespakusatsu Gunma 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Suzuka Unlimited 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Kashima. Across their last 2 meetings Tokyo Verdy have won 1, Kashima 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Tokyo Verdy and 2.2 for Kashima. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 10%, draw 25%, Kashima 65%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (90%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy10%fair 9.55 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Kashima65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
2.98Expected goals
0.83Tokyo Verdy xG
2.15Kashima xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.8 – 2.2 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 65%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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