Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Shimizu S-pulse take on Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Osaka 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Senshu University 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.6 for Kashiwa Reysol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Kashiwa Reysol to win at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol52%fair 1.93 · @2.15
2.62Expected goals
1.03Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.59Kashiwa Reysol xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
DLLWWW
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
3–1
W
14 Jul
@ Polessya
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWWWDL
26 Aug
vs Senshu University
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
4–2
W
14 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 52%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
V-varen Nagasaki0
Kyoto Sanga2
Avispa Fukuoka1
Nagoya Grampus2
Fagiano Okayama1