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Today's tips
J1 League · Japan · Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus

LWLLL
2–1
FT

Fagiano Okayama

WDWLL

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.98

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction

The match

Nagoya Grampus host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are 3rd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Gainare Tottori 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Beluga Rosso Iwami 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.1 for Fagiano Okayama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nagoya Grampus40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Fagiano Okayama36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
2.23Expected goals
1.15Nagoya Grampus xG
1.08Fagiano Okayama xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.2 – 1.1 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNagoya Grampus to win ✓40%2.512.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.98–

Form

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

LWLLLL
26 Augvs Gainare Tottori1–3L
22 Augvs Gamba Osaka3–1W
15 Aug@ Kashima1–2L
8 Augvs Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
25 Jul@ Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Jul@ FC Tokyo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WDWLLL
26 Augvs Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0W
22 Augvs Tokyo Verdy0–0D
15 Augvs V-varen Nagasaki1–0W
8 Aug@ Cerezo Osaka1–2L
25 Jul@ FC Schalke 041–3L
22 Jul@ Werder Bremen0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and Fagiano Okayama.

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Gamba Osaka0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima0 114%4.80X19%4.00267%1.64 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✗
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Machida Zelvia1 125%3.90X22%3.20253%2.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.45 ✓
FT Shimizu S-pulse0 Kashiwa Reysol1 126%3.30X22%3.30252%2.15 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT V-varen Nagasaki0 FC Tokyo3 112%4.80X22%3.65267%1.70 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Kawasaki Frontale4 JEF United Chiba2 168%1.57X21%4.00211%5.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Kyoto Sanga2 Avispa Fukuoka1 135%2.55X26%3.00239%2.85 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.50 ✓
FT Urawa3 Yokohama F. Marinos2 138%2.45X24%3.20238%2.88 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Kashima2 110%4.80X25%3.40265%1.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 36%.

How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.