Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManauara to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceManauara or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Independência vs Manauara preview and prediction
The match
Independência host Manauara in the Serie D on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Independência's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Guaporé 2–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Manauara's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Sao Raimundo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Independência and 1.6 for Manauara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Manauara to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Independência 0–1 Manauara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independência16%fair 6.19 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.75
Manauara63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
2.25Expected goals
0.63Independência xG
1.62Manauara xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Independência 0.6 – 1.6 Manauara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manauara to win✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Double chance
Manauara or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manauara / FT Manauara✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.87
–
Form
Independência – last 6
DWWWWL
14 Jun
vs Guaporé
2–2
D
31 May
@ Humaitá
4–0
W
24 May
vs Galvez
3–1
W
17 May
vs Araguaína
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs GAS
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Galvez
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Manauara – last 6
WWDWLL
14 Jun
vs Sao Raimundo
1–0
W
31 May
@ Monte Roraima
1–0
W
24 May
vs Manaus FC
1–1
D
5 May
@ GAS
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional AM
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independência and Manauara.
What is the prediction for Independência vs Manauara?
Our pick is Manauara to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Independência vs Manauara?
On our numbers Independência have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manauara 63%.
How many goals will there be in Independência vs Manauara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independência vs Manauara?
Our predicted score is Independência 0–1 Manauara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independência vs Manauara?
Independência vs Manauara (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Parnahyba2
Águia de Marabá1
Central SC1
Ferroviario1
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC0
Cascavel2
Marcílio Dias2
Sao Jose1
Santa Catarina1
Portuguesa RJ1
Noroeste1
Tuna Luso1
Iguatu2
Altos0
ABC1