Value bet: Iguatu to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIguatu to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.27
Tuna Luso vs Iguatu preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Tuna Luso take on Iguatu on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tuna Luso's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Imperatriz 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Tuna Luso and 1.3 for Iguatu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tuna Luso 34%, draw 26%, Iguatu 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Iguatu to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tuna Luso 1–1 Iguatu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tuna Luso34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Iguatu40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.19Tuna Luso xG
1.31Iguatu xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tuna Luso 1.2 – 1.3 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iguatu to win✓
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iguatu / FT Iguatu✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.27
–
Form
Tuna Luso – last 6
LWDWDW
6 Jun
@ Imperatriz
0–4
L
31 May
vs Trem
1–0
W
24 May
@ Oratório
3–3
D
17 May
vs Águia de Marabá
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Imperatriz
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iguatu – last 2
WD
7 Jun
@ Sampaio Correa
1–0
W
30 May
vs Parnahyba
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuna Luso and Iguatu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?
On our numbers Tuna Luso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Iguatu 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?
Our predicted score is Tuna Luso 1–1 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?
Tuna Luso vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Parnahyba2
Águia de Marabá1
Central SC1
Ferroviario1
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC0
Cascavel2
Marcílio Dias2
Sao Jose1
Santa Catarina1
Portuguesa RJ1
Noroeste1
Altos0
ABC1
CRAC1
Tombense0