Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Brasiliense to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrasiliense to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceBrasiliense or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC preview and prediction
The match
Brasiliense host Goiatuba EC in the Serie D on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Brasiliense's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Primavera MG 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Brasiliense and 0.7 for Goiatuba EC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Brasiliense to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Brasiliense 1–0 Goiatuba EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brasiliense56%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Goiatuba EC19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
2.15Expected goals
1.45Brasiliense xG
0.70Goiatuba EC xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Brasiliense 1.5 – 0.7 Goiatuba EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasiliense to win✗
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Brasiliense or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasiliense / FT Brasiliense✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
Brasiliense – last 5
WDWLD
7 Jun
@ Primavera MG
2–1
W
31 May
vs Luverdense
1–1
D
24 May
vs Inhumas
1–0
W
16 May
@ Gama
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Primavera MG
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Goiatuba EC – last 2
WD
7 Jun
vs CEOV Operário
1–0
W
30 May
@ Ceilândia
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brasiliense and Goiatuba EC.
What is the prediction for Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC?
On our numbers Brasiliense have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Goiatuba EC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC?
Our predicted score is Brasiliense 1–0 Goiatuba EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC?
Brasiliense vs Goiatuba EC (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Parnahyba2
Águia de Marabá1
Central SC1
Ferroviario1
Cascavel2
Marcílio Dias2
Sao Jose1
Santa Catarina1
Portuguesa RJ1
Noroeste1
Tuna Luso1
Iguatu2
Altos0
ABC1
CRAC1
Tombense0