Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCascavel to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.11
Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Cascavel take on Marcílio Dias on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Cascavel's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Santa Catarina 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Independiente FSJ 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.8 for Cascavel and 0.6 for Marcílio Dias. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 85% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cascavel 41%, draw 27%, Marcílio Dias 32%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Cascavel to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Cascavel 0–0 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cascavel41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.45
Marcílio Dias32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
1.35Expected goals
0.76Cascavel xG
0.59Marcílio Dias xG
43%Both score
15%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–026%
1–020%
0–115%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Cascavel 0.8 – 0.6 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cascavel to win✗
41%
2.41
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.11
–
Form
Cascavel – last 5
LDWLW
7 Jun
@ Santa Catarina
0–1
L
31 May
vs São Luiz
0–0
D
24 May
@ Guarany de Bagé
4–0
W
17 May
@ Cianorte
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Santa Catarina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Marcílio Dias – last 6
DDDWLW
7 Jun
@ Independiente FSJ
0–0
D
24 May
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Independiente FSJ
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Joinville
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Carlos Renaux
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cascavel and Marcílio Dias.
What is the prediction for Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Cascavel have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Marcílio Dias 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 15% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Cascavel 0–0 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?
Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.