Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Serie D · Brazil
2–2
FT

Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCascavel to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.11

Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D sees Cascavel take on Marcílio Dias on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Cascavel's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Santa Catarina 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Independiente FSJ 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.8 for Cascavel and 0.6 for Marcílio Dias. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 85% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Cascavel 0–0 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Cascavel41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.45
Marcílio Dias32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
1.35Expected goals
0.76Cascavel xG
0.59Marcílio Dias xG
43%Both score
15%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–026%
1–020%
0–115%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%

From our goals model: Cascavel 0.8 – 0.6 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCascavel to win ✗41%2.412.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.751.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗95%1.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓60%1.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.11–

Form

Cascavel – last 5

LDWLW
7 Jun@ Santa Catarina0–1L
31 Mayvs São Luiz0–0D
24 May@ Guarany de Bagé4–0W
17 May@ Cianorte0–1L
5 Aprvs Santa Catarina1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Marcílio Dias – last 6

DDDWLW
7 Jun@ Independiente FSJ0–0D
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
26 Feb@ Carlos Renaux1–2L
21 Feb@ Figueirense1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cascavel and Marcílio Dias.

Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?

On our numbers Cascavel have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Marcílio Dias 32%.

How many goals will there be in Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 15% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?

Our predicted score is Cascavel 0–0 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias?

Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.