Value bet: Tombense to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCRAC to win ✓37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.23
CRAC vs Tombense preview and prediction
The match
Tombense travel to face CRAC in the Serie D on Sunday 21 June (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
CRAC's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Ivinhema 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tombense's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Vitória ES 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for CRAC and 0.8 for Tombense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: CRAC 37%, draw 27%, Tombense 36%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tombense to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: CRAC 0–0 Tombense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CRAC37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.62
Tombense36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
1.65Expected goals
0.84CRAC xG
0.81Tombense xG
49%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: CRAC 0.8 – 0.8 Tombense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRAC to win✓
37%
2.70
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.23
–
Form
CRAC – last 4
DLDW
14 Jun
vs Ivinhema
1–1
D
31 May
@ Operario Ferroviario
0–2
L
24 May
vs Uberlandia
0–0
D
17 May
vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Tombense – last 6
DWLDLD
14 Jun
vs Vitória ES
0–0
D
30 May
@ Porto BA
3–1
W
7 May
@ Juventude
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs São Bernardo
2–2
D
16 Apr
@ Volta Redonda
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs America Mineiro
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CRAC and Tombense.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win CRAC vs Tombense?
On our numbers CRAC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tombense 36%.
How many goals will there be in CRAC vs Tombense?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRAC vs Tombense?
Our predicted score is CRAC 0–0 Tombense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is CRAC vs Tombense?
CRAC vs Tombense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.