Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAraguaína to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Araguaína vs Nacional AM preview and prediction
The match
Araguaína host Nacional AM in the Serie D on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Araguaína's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Galvez 9–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Nacional AM's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Monte Roraima 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nacional AM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Araguaína and 1.6 for Nacional AM. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araguaína 38%, draw 26%, Nacional AM 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Araguaína 1–1 Nacional AM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araguaína38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Nacional AM37%fair 2.73 · @2.38
3.20Expected goals
1.61Araguaína xG
1.59Nacional AM xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Araguaína 1.6 – 1.6 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araguaína to win✗
38%
2.66
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araguaína / FT Araguaína✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Form
Araguaína – last 6
WLDLWL
14 Jun
vs Galvez
9–0
W
31 May
@ Guaporé
2–3
L
24 May
vs Porto Velho
1–1
D
17 May
@ Independência
0–1
L
11 May
@ Humaitá
7–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nacional AM – last 6
WDLLWW
14 Jun
vs Monte Roraima
3–1
W
31 May
@ Manaus FC
1–1
D
29 May
vs Paysandu
2–4
L
21 May
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Guaporé
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ GAS
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araguaína and Nacional AM.
What is the prediction for Araguaína vs Nacional AM?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Araguaína vs Nacional AM?
On our numbers Araguaína have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nacional AM 37%.
How many goals will there be in Araguaína vs Nacional AM?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araguaína vs Nacional AM?
Our predicted score is Araguaína 1–1 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Araguaína vs Nacional AM?
Araguaína vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Parnahyba2
Águia de Marabá1
Central SC1
Ferroviario1
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC0
Cascavel2
Marcílio Dias2
Sao Jose1
Santa Catarina1
Portuguesa RJ1
Noroeste1
Tuna Luso1
Iguatu2
Altos0
ABC1