Velo Clube host Água Santa in the Serie D on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.
Form guide
Velo Clube's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat CFRJ Maricá 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Água Santa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to América RJ 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Velo Clube and 1.1 for Água Santa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Velo Clube 37%, draw 27%, Água Santa 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Velo Clube 1–1 Água Santa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velo Clube37%fair 2.74 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.70
Água Santa37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
2.20Expected goals
1.10Velo Clube xG
1.10Água Santa xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Velo Clube 1.1 – 1.1 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Água Santa to win✗
37%
2.73
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Água Santa / FT Água Santa✗
20%
5.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Velo Clube – last 4
WLDL
7 Jun
vs CFRJ Maricá
3–1
W
30 May
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–1
L
23 May
vs XV de Piracicaba
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos
0–7
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Água Santa – last 6
LWLLLD
6 Jun
@ América RJ
0–1
L
30 May
vs Madureira
4–1
W
15 Apr
vs XV de Piracicaba
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Votuporanguense
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ Ituano
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Votuporanguense
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velo Clube and Água Santa.
What is the prediction for Velo Clube vs Água Santa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Velo Clube vs Água Santa?
On our numbers Velo Clube have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Água Santa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Velo Clube vs Água Santa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velo Clube vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is Velo Clube 1–1 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Velo Clube vs Água Santa?
Velo Clube vs Água Santa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano
América RJ1
XV de Piracicaba1
Independiente FSJ0
Cianorte1
Vitória ES1
Ipatinga0
São Luiz1
Blumenau1
Aparecidense1
Capital Brasilia1
Ceilândia1
Luverdense2
Fluminense PI0
America-RN3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Portuguesa1