Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Aparecidense

DDLDW
1–1
FT

Capital Brasilia

WWDDD

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Capital Brasilia to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.49

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia preview and prediction

The match

Capital Brasilia travel to face Aparecidense in the Serie D on Saturday 20 June (20:00 WAT).

Form guide

Aparecidense's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Gama 2–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Capital Brasilia's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat União Rondonópolis 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Aparecidense and 1.2 for Capital Brasilia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Aparecidense34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Capital Brasilia40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.35Expected goals
1.12Aparecidense xG
1.23Capital Brasilia xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aparecidense 1.1 – 1.2 Capital Brasilia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCapital Brasilia to win ✗40%2.502.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.49–

Form

Aparecidense – last 5

DDLDW
7 Jun@ Gama2–2D
30 Mayvs Primavera MG1–1D
24 May@ Luverdense0–1L
17 May@ Inhumas1–1D
18 Febvs Centro Oeste4–0W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Capital Brasilia – last 6

WWDDDL
7 Junvs União Rondonópolis2–0W
30 May@ CEOV Operário5–1W
29 Aprvs Operario Ferroviario2–2D
16 Apr@ Vila Nova0–0D
8 Apr@ Araguaína0–0D
29 Marvs Rio Branco ES0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aparecidense and Capital Brasilia.

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT América RJ1 XV de Piracicaba1 130%3.40X24%2.75246%2.10 GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.10 ✓
FT Independiente FSJ0 Cianorte1 130%2.75X27%2.50243%2.75 NGNot both teams to score 58%@1.50 ✓
FT Vitória ES1 Ipatinga0 141%2.30X26%2.75233%2.90 GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✗
FT São Luiz1 Blumenau1 140%2.40X27%2.62233%3.00 NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.57 ✗
FT Ceilândia1 Luverdense2 136%2.80X26%2.70238%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Fluminense PI0 America-RN3 113%5.80X22%3.10265%1.57 2America-RN to win 65%@1.57 ✓
FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 Portuguesa1 114%4.00X23%2.90263%1.85 X2Portuguesa or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Mixto1 Gama2 130%3.00X24%2.80247%2.25 GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

On our numbers Aparecidense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Capital Brasilia 40%.

How many goals will there be in Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Our predicted score is Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia?

Aparecidense vs Capital Brasilia (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.