The Serie D sees Vitória ES take on Ipatinga on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Vitória ES's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Vilavelhense 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ipatinga's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Villa Nova 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Vitória ES and 1.0 for Ipatinga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitória ES 41%, draw 26%, Ipatinga 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitória ES41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.75
Ipatinga33%fair 2.99 · @2.90
2.05Expected goals
1.10Vitória ES xG
0.95Ipatinga xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.1 – 1.0 Ipatinga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória ES to win✓
41%
2.46
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.09
–
Form
Vitória ES – last 6
DDLLDW
17 Jun
@ Vilavelhense
2–2
D
14 Jun
@ Tombense
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Rio Branco-VN
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Vilavelhense
0–1
L
30 May
vs Real Noroeste
1–1
D
27 May
vs Sport Brasil ES
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ipatinga – last 5
LWLLD
17 Jun
vs Villa Nova
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Operario Ferroviario
2–1
W
12 Jun
@ Aymorés
0–4
L
30 May
@ ABECAT Ouvidorense
1–2
L
18 May
@ Uberlandia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória ES and Ipatinga.
What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
On our numbers Vitória ES have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ipatinga 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–1 Ipatinga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vitória ES vs Ipatinga?
Vitória ES vs Ipatinga (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
América RJ1
XV de Piracicaba1
Independiente FSJ0
Cianorte1
São Luiz1
Blumenau1
Aparecidense1
Capital Brasilia1
Ceilândia1
Luverdense2
Fluminense PI0
America-RN3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Portuguesa1
Mixto1
Gama2