Ceilândia host Luverdense in the Serie D on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ceilândia's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Mixto 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Luverdense's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Inhumas 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Luverdense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Ceilândia and 1.0 for Luverdense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ceilândia 1–1 Luverdense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceilândia36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
Luverdense38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
2.00Expected goals
0.98Ceilândia xG
1.02Luverdense xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ceilândia 1.0 – 1.0 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luverdense to win✓
38%
2.63
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Ceilândia – last 3
DDD
7 Jun
@ Mixto
1–1
D
30 May
vs Goiatuba EC
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Mixto
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Luverdense – last 6
WDWLLW
7 Jun
vs Inhumas
4–0
W
31 May
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
24 May
vs Aparecidense
1–0
W
17 May
@ Primavera MG
0–1
L
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceilândia and Luverdense.
What is the prediction for Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
On our numbers Ceilândia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Luverdense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Our predicted score is Ceilândia 1–1 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ceilândia vs Luverdense?
Ceilândia vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
América RJ1
XV de Piracicaba1
Independiente FSJ0
Cianorte1
Vitória ES1
Ipatinga0
São Luiz1
Blumenau1
Aparecidense1
Capital Brasilia1
Fluminense PI0
America-RN3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Portuguesa1
Mixto1
Gama2